• Study finds COVID U.K. variant 55 per cent more lethal, as ICU admissio

    From karmabum@1:229/2 to All on Tuesday, March 16, 2021 14:15:57
    From: karmabum@anashram.com

    Yet more unnerving research is linking a fast-spreading variant of the
    virus that causes COVID-19 with a higher likelihood of dying.

    https://nationalpost.com/news/study-finds-further-evidence-covid-u-k-variant-more-lethal-as-icu-admissions-in-ontario-creep-up

    The latest findings come from a paper published Monday by the journal
    Nature, in which researchers estimate the variant technically know as
    B.1.1.7, the so-called U.K. strain, is, on average, 55 per cent deadlier
    than earlier versions of the virus.

    The findings are based on an analysis of more than one million people who tested positive for COVID-19 in England between September 2020 and
    February 2021. Researchers compared death rates between those who had
    B.1.1.7 infections and those infected with earlier strains, adjusting for
    age, ethnicity, sex and other factors. They only compared death rates
    among people who were tested on the same day and lived in the same city or town, to control for changes in testing rates and hospital pressures.

    People infected with the variant were between 39 and 72 per cent more
    likely to die.

    The absolute risk of death remained low, increasing, for example, from 0.6
    to 0.9 per cent, for 55- to 69-year-old males.

    “We don’t want this 55 per cent number to scare people into thinking ‘this
    is a big risk for me,’” unless people are elderly or otherwise very sick, said lead author Nicholas Davies, an epidemiologist with the London School
    of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.

    But there was already evidence the variant is more contagious — between
    43 and 90 per cent more transmissible, depending how it’s measured,
    earlier work by Davies and his colleagues found.

    Add in that it is seemingly deadlier, “and that really does add up over an entire population,” said Davies.

    Davies is a native of Sault Ste. Marie, Ont. For the past 10 years, he’s lived in the U.K., where the B.1.1.7 variant spread swiftly, from the
    county of Kent, in southeast England in early October, to London, and to
    the rest of the U.K. by December’s end.

    It now accounts for more than 99 per cent of COVID-19 infections in the
    U.K., which saw as many COVID-related deaths — some 42,000 — in the first two months of this year as were experienced in the first eight months of
    the pandemic. “Over the course of 2020, treatments for COVID-19 had
    improved so much — the survival rate by the end of summer was twice as
    good as the beginning of the pandemic,” Davies said.

    “And yet we’ve had this huge burden of death since B.1.1.7 arose.”

    The same variant, scientists warned last week, is poised to drive a third
    surge of infections in Ontario, where hospitalizations and ICU admissions
    have begun to creep up. As of Monday, the new “variants of concern” accounted for 49 per cent of confirmed COVID infections in Ontario. The reproductive number — the number of people each infected person goes on to infect — was 1.41. It needs to be below one to slow the spread of the
    virus.

    The Nature paper comes days after another British study, using the same
    data over a slightly different time period, and using a different
    statistical method, estimated the B.1.1.7 strain could be 32 per cent — to
    an alarming 104 per cent — more deadly than previously circulating
    variants (the increased death risk in the “largely unvaccinated
    population” averaged out to 64 per cent.)

    The emergence of the variant, and others identified in Brazil and South
    Africa, “highlights the capacity of SARS-CoV-2 to rapidly evolve new phenotypic variants, with mutants that evade vaccines being a real possibility,” the authors of that study wrote in the British Medical
    Journal.

    So far, all the vaccines that have been tested against B.1.1.7 have shown
    good protection against it.

    Taken together, the data are rattling some scientists, who are warning the variants could spark a third surge of COVID-19 within days in Ontario.

    Across Canada, a total of 3,302 people have tested positive for “variants
    of concern,” the vast majority — 3,031 — the U.K. strain. Some say the reported number of cases is almost immaterial because there is so little genomic sequencing of the viruses. The variant is also spreading quickly
    in the U.S., in Florida, California and Texas.

    While Davies is sympathetic to people who say individual risk is low,
    “it’s still very high for an infectious disease, and we’re talking about millions of people getting infected. It’s not just something you can ignore.”

    It’s not clear why those infections are more severe. People tend to have higher viral loads— “the virus replicates to larger numbers within the person,” Davies said — and there’s some evidence that people shed virus for longer periods. It could be that treatments don’t work as well against the variants. “But it’s still not really super clear,” he said. It also appears more infectious across all age groups.

    ### - nada's ever "super-clear" to these bozos hah, something which more
    often than not suits their purposes when it then comes to misleading the
    public by conveniently revising these numbers either up or down depending
    on whatever governments are seeking to achieve at the time?

    from global warming to pandemics, it's always the same shit whereby no one
    can then say with any real degree of accuracy what's actually happening or
    why until it's too late, the above being a second study that, rather conveniently, revises/tweaks the previous alarming numbers down, the only
    thing one can thus genuinely take from them being that these variants are indeed more infectious AND more deadly although no one can really say by
    how much only that they are, this being in stark contrast to when these variants first began to emerge and we were gently told that they probably weren't more deadly but which now - months later! - that they in fact are
    by anything up to double??

    the feared 'third wave' being comprised of mainly these new variants
    pushing the original strain out of the way by dint of being that much more infectious than the original...

    we might just get through it, however, provided the current vaccines still afford some protection against them, a worst case scenario only arising if
    some newer strain is then able to get around the current vaccines
    altogether and then everyone's back to where it all started over a year
    ago apart from the now 3+ million people worldwide who've already died
    from it! (official figures say lower but yeah right, right? damn right! professional LIARS the lot of 'em!)

    as for the vaccinations themselves: well ya pays yer money and ya takes
    yer chance, because between having it and not having it ya takes a chance either way!

    the 'choice' is up to you!

    it's a 2-horse race...

    do something!
    or do nothing!

    and we can't get out of it either! so place yer bets peeps :)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tm4BrZjY_Sg

    (desert thus sounds/feels rather appropriate?)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)