From:
slider@anashram.com
Russia may hand over its powerful S-300 missile defense system to Syria in
the near future, despite opposition from Israel and other Western powers,
the Russian daily Kommersant reported Monday, citing anonymous military sources.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/russian-officials-said-to-warn-of-catastrophic-result-if-israel-strikes-s-300s/
The sources told the newspaper that if Israel tried to destroy the anti-aircraft batteries — as analysts have indicated Israel likely would — it would be “catastrophic for all sides.”
But Russian Foreign Minister later said no decision had yet been made on whether to give the S-300s to Syria, and added that it would not keep such
a delivery a secret.
“We’ll have to wait to see what specific decisions the Russian leadership and representatives of Syria will take,” he said, according to a TASS
report quoted by Reuters.
Moscow announced last week that it was considering reversing its longtime policy against supplying the S-300 system to the regime. The statement
came following a series of airstrikes against Syrian targets by the United States, United Kingdom and France earlier this month in response to an
alleged chemical weapons attack by Syrian dictator Bashar Assad.
The apparent chemical attack against the then-rebel-held city of Douma in central Syria killed at least 40 people, including children. Western
powers blame the attack on Assad’s regime.
“A few years ago at the request of our partners, we decided not to supply S-300s to Syria,” Lavrov told the BBC last week. “Now that this outrageous act of aggression was undertaken by the US, France and UK, we might think
how to make sure that the Syrian state is protected.”
Russia had originally agreed to sell the system to Syria in 2010, but
scrapped the plan at Israel’s behest.
Lavrov’s comments to the BBC indicated that the impetus for Russia to
reverse its decision and give Assad the S-300 was not the airstrike
allegedly conducted by Israel on April 9, but the American-French-British attack on April 13.
According to Kommersant’s report, Russia will not be selling Assad the
S-300 system, but rather providing it at no cost as part of a military aid package in order to hasten the delivery.
The Russian-made system, made up of radar arrays and missile launchers,
offers long-range protection against both fighter jets and missiles. The
system has been supplied by Moscow to Tehran, and deployed by the Russian
army in Syria, alongside its more advanced iteration: the S-400.
It was not immediately clear if Russia would bring in new S-300 systems to Syria or if it would simply give over control of the batteries already in
the country.
The Kommersant report noted that in any case it would take at least
several months from its reception before Syrian soldiers would be fully
trained on the system and capable of using it.
Israeli officials have expressed concerns that selling the S-300 system to Damascus could weaken Israel’s regional air supremacy.
Therefore, Israel might look to destroy the defense system, preferably
before it is set up and made operational.
Israel’s former Military Intelligence chief Amos Yadlin, who currently
heads the influential Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv,
said he assumed the air force would work quickly to destroy the S-300.
“If I know the air force well, we have already made proper plans to deal
with this threat. After you remove the threat, which is basically what
will be done, we’re back to square one,” Yadlin told Bloomberg news last week.
In what many saw as a direct reaction to the looming proliferation of the
S-300 and other missile defense systems throughout the Middle East — but especially in Iran — Israel purchased a fleet of F-35 stealth fighter jets
from the American Lockheed-Martin defense contractor.
The state-of-the-art planes are meant to offer a solution to the
challenges posed by the S-300, whose radar systems can detect aircraft
from some 300 kilometers (186 miles) away.
Israel also worked diplomatically to attempt to stop Russia’s sale of the S-300 system to Iran, which after being halted for nearly a decade went
through in 2016. Last year, Tehran announced that the system was fully functional and connected to the rest of the country’s air defenses.
In addition to the American-led coalition’s strikes against Assad targets, Israel has increasingly carried out air raids in Syria, which it says are
meant to prevent the transfer of advanced weaponry to the Hezbollah
terrorist group and halt the military entrenchment of Iran in the country.
While Israeli officials acknowledge that these strikes are carried out in general, Jerusalem rarely takes responsibility for specific attacks.
On April 9, Israel allegedly struck the T-4 air base in central Syria
where Iran has reportedly been operating a fully functional air base of
its own and where it has centered its attack drone operations. At least
seven members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps were killed in the strike. The base was reportedly protected by surface-to-air missile
defense systems.
Satellite photographs of the base published on Sunday showed the strikes
were carried out with a high degree of precision, hitting two hangars, but causing little damage to the surrounding area.
While refusing to comment on whether it carried out the strike, a few days later Israel revealed for the first time that an Iranian drone dispatched
from T-4 in February was an attack drone that carried explosives and was headed to an unspecified location in Israel when it was shot down 30
seconds after entering Israeli airspace.
Israel lost an F-16 in retaliatory raids hours after the drone was downed
on February 10, the first loss of a fighter jet in action in 35 years. The Israeli plane was hit by Syrian anti-aircraft fire, and crashed in Israel;
the two pilots ejected to safety.
Following the downing of the F-16, Israeli aircraft targeted Syria’s air defenses, destroying between one-third and one-half of them, according to Israeli military estimates.
### - well putin said it's gonna be "costly" for that 3-pronged attack on
syria the other day? and s300 antiaircraft systems could well be the price
they have to pay! - yes, syria's current s200 systems fall far short of
being effective deterrents, but if peeps are gonna 'keep' on running
surprise bombing raids on them willy-nilly just about whenever they like,
then who can blame them for requiring a better system??
in which case israel (and everyone else, mr-t included!) better watch out
'coz those s300's ARE far more effective!
they've all been getting away with it so far, but with s300's installed
they'd all have to drastically change their plans! perforce the risks
attendant with syria shooting down israeli jets and the israeli's getting really pissed with that and thumping them back even harder + russia
potentially having to then get involved in a confrontation with israel directly, would likely be just as catastrophic as if last week the
russians had taken out one of america's destroyers for launching missiles
in that attack! otoh, israel attempting to destroy said s300 installations before they become effective would necessarily involve russia in coming to their rescue as that's where the new systems are being supplied from
anyway!
yes folks: yet another serious flash point we've invented! as if we needed
any more??
knock/shave another few seconds off the doomsday clock buddy!
c'mon! let's SEE just HOW CLOSE we can actually court disaster without
falling over??
but we WONT fall over! we can handle it?
riiiiiiight...
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)