WWIN40 DEMS 100300
IWB (MORNING) DATED 10-10-2020

THE WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL &
ADJOINING NORTH ANDAMAN SEA NOW LIES OVER EASTCENTRAL & ADJOINING
SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL. THE ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS
UPTO MID-TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO CONCENTRATE INTO
A DEPRESSION OVER CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL DURING NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE
IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY THAT THE SYSTEM MAY FURTHER INTENSIFY INTO A
DEEP DEPRESSION DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH COAST DURING
12TH OCTOBER FORENOON/NOON. THE WITHDRAWAL LINE OF THE SOUTHWEST
MONSOON CONTINUES TO PASS THROUGH LAT. 28ON/LONG.83OE, FAIZABAD,
FATEHPUR, NOWGONG, RAJGARH, RATLAM, VALLABH VIDYANAGAR, PORBANDAR,
LAT. 21ON/ LONG.65OE AND LAT. 21ON/ LONG.60OE. THE CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION OVER RAYALASEEMA & ADJOINING SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA
PRADESH NOW LIES OVER SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD
AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER
NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND EXTENDS UPTO 3.1 KM
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. A FRESH FEEBLE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS
A TROUGH IN MID TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE
MEAN SEA LEVEL RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 64OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.
34ON. THE TROUGH FROM THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER RAYALASEEMA TO
SOUTH TAMIL NADU HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. A FRESH LOW PRESSURE AREA
IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AROUND 14TH
OCTOBER.


.FORECAST:-

RAIN/THUNDERSHOWER AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS,
TELANGANA, RAYALSEEMA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, KARNATAKA AND
KERALA & MAHE; AT MANY PLACES OVER ODISHA, VIDARBHA, MARATHAWADA,
TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND LAKSHADWEEP; AT A FEW PLACES
OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, JHARKHAND, EAST MADHYA
PRADESH, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, CHHATTISGARH AND AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, GANGETIC
WEST BENGAL AND WEST MADHYA PRADESH,

DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WARNING:

10 OCTOBER (DAY 1): HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT
RAYALSEEMA AND SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA; HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY
AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER CHHATTISGARH, ANDAMAN ISLANDS, MADHYA
MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, KONKAN & GOA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &
YANAM, TELANGANA, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND COASTAL &
NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA. THUNDERSQUALL (SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH)
VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS;
THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER CHHATTISGARH,
JHARKHAND, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &
YANAM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA, KARNATAKA, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY &
KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE AND LAKSHADWEEP. SQUALLY WINDS
(SPEED REACHING 45-55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER
CENTRAL & ADJOINING SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL. SQUALLY WINDS(SPEED
REACHING 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN
ISLANDS AND ANDAMAN SEA. SEA CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO BE ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH OVER CENTRAL & ADJOINING SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN
SEA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

11 OCTOBER (DAY 2): HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA,
COASTAL & NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED
PLACES OVER VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, ODISHA, ANDAMAN ISLANDS, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHAWADA, KONKAN & GOA, RAYALASEEMA, SOUTH INTERIOR
KARNATAKA, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE.
THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER CHHATTISGARH,
JHARKHAND, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHAWADA, KONKAN & GOA, COASTAL
ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA, KARNATAKA, TAMILNADU,
PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE AND LAKSHADWEEP. SQUALLY WINDS
(SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH GUSTING TO 70 KMPH) LIKELY ALONG & OFF
ANDHRA PRADESH COAST; SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 45-55 KMPH
GUSTING TO 65 KMPH) LIKELY OVER WESTCENTRAL & ADJOINING NORTHWEST
BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND ALONG & OFF ODISHA- TAMILNADU-PUDUCHERRY COASTS AND GULF OF MANNAR. SEA CONDITIONS VERY
LIKELY TO BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH OVER WESTCENTRAL & ADJOINING
NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND ALONG & OFF
ODISHA-ANDHRA PRADESH-TAMILNADU-PUDUCHERRY COASTS AND GULF OF
MANNAR. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=
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