WWIN40 DEMS 010300

IWB (MORNING) DATED 01-10-2020



THE WITHDRAWAL LINE OF THE SOUTHWEST MONSOON CONTINUES TO PASS
THROUGH LAT. 29ON/ LONG.81OE, LAKHIMPUR KHERI, SHAHJHANPUR, ALWAR,
NAGAUR AND LAT. 26ON/ LONG.70OE.\U2666 CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING
FAVOURABLE FOR FURTHER WITHDRAWAL OF THE SOUTHWEST MONSOON FROM SOME
MORE PARTS OF UTTAR PRADESH & RAJASTHAN AND SOME PARTS OF NORTHWEST
MADHYA PRADESH DURING NEXT 2 DAYS.\U2666 UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER WESTCENTRAL & ADJOINING NORTHWEST BAY OF
BENGAL OFF NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH-SOUTH ODISHA COASTS, A LOW PRESSURE
AREA HAS FORMED OVER THE SAME REGION. ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
EXTENDS UPTO 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL TILTING SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH HEIGHT.\U2666 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH GUJARAT REGION & NEIGHBOURHOOD NOW LIES OVER NORTHEAST & ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN
SEA OFF SOUTH GUJARAT-NORTH MAHARASHTRA COASTS BETWEEN 3.1 KM & 5.8
KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL TILTING SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH HEIGHT.\U2666 THE
WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS NOW SEEN AS A TROUGH IN MID TROPOSPHERIC
WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG
LONG.65OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.32ON.\U2666 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & ADJOINING ASSAM EXTENDING UPTO 0.9
KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED (.)

FORECAST:-

RAIN/THUNDERSHOWER AT MOST PLACES OVER ODISHA; AT MANY PLACES OVER
ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA,
GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AND JHARKHAND; AT A FEW PLACES OVER ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA,
KARNATAKA AND KERALA & MAHE AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL
PRADESH, BIHAR, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT STATE,
MARATHWADA, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH AND TAMILNADU PUDUCHERRY &
KARAIKAL (.)

DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)



WARNING:-



01 OCTOBER (DAY 1):

HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
ODISHA AND HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA AND
TRIPURA.

THUNDERSQUALL (SPEED REACHING 55-65 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER EAST CHHATTISGARH, JHARKHAND, WEST
BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &
TRIPURA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA,
RAYALASEEMA, TELANGANA AND COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM.

STRONG WINDS (SPEED REACHING 45-55 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN
SEA. SQUALLY WEATHER (SPEED REACHING 45-55 KMPH OCCASIONALLY) VERY
LIKELY OVER NORTHWEST & WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL ALONG & OFF ODISHA
COAST. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.



02 OCTOBER (DAY 2):

HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST
BENGAL, ODISHA, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND TRIPURA.

THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER
CHHATTISGARH, JHARKHAND, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA,
NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND NORTH
INTERIOR KARNATAKA,

SQUALLY WEATHER (SPEED REACHING 45-55 KMPH OCCASIONALLY) VERY LIKELY
OVER NORTHWEST & WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL ALONG & OFF ODISHA
COAST.FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=
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