013
WTNT32 KNHC 121154
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Intermediate Advisory Number 22A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
800 AM AST Sat Sep 12 2020

...PAULETTE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
...FORECAST TO BRING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO BERMUDA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.2N 56.8W
ABOUT 590 MI...955 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 27.2 North, longitude 56.8 West. Paulette is
moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A
west-northwestward or northwestward motion at a slightly slower
forward speed is expected through the weekend, followed by a turn
toward the northwest and north-northwest on Monday and Monday
evening. The center of Paulette is forecast to move near Bermuda
Sunday night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is anticipated, and Paulette is forecast to
become a hurricane later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin to affect
Bermuda and the nearby waters by Sunday night. Hurricane conditions
could begin in that area Sunday night or early Monday.

RAIN: Paulette may bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda through
Monday, with rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with maximum
amounts of 6 inches possible.

SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands and will continue to spread westward to portions of
the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, Bermuda, and the southeastern United
States this weekend. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg
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