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ACUS11 KWNS 012139
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012138
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-012315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1686
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0338 PM CST Sat Dec 01 2018

Areas affected...FL Panhandle Region

Concerning...Tornado Watch 433...

Valid 012138Z - 012315Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 433 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat will gradually shift north across ww433
early this evening.

DISCUSSION...LLJ appears to be translating inland across southern GA
along with more focused low-level warm advection. Widespread
convection that evolved over the northern Gulf basin earlier today
has spread northeast as surface warm front now extends from near
TLH-SEM-CBM. Extensive convection continues across ww433 and
discrete updrafts remain limited amidst larger complex of storms.
Greatest risk for sustained rotating updrafts will be near the warm
front as it lifts northeast, however with the LLJ shifting well
northeast sustained rotation will become increasingly difficult near
the coast.

..Darrow.. 12/01/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON 31528664 31508412 29478411 29498665 31528664



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