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ACUS11 KWNS 311516
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 311516
INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-311715-

Mesoscale Discussion 0584
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1016 AM CDT Thu May 31 2018

Areas affected...Southeast IL...Southern IN...Northwest KY

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 311516Z - 311715Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Line of storms has recently intensified. Trends will be
monitored for a possible watch.

DISCUSSION...Radar, satellite, and lightning trends all suggest that
cluster of storms over southern IL has recently intensified and has
accelerated in its eastward movement. Storm motion is now over 40
knots, and localized damaging winds have recently been reported.
The air mass ahead of the storms is becoming increasingly unstable
with dewpoints in the 70s and strong heating. Given the increasing organization of the cluster, a severe thunderstorm watch may needed
soon.

..Hart.. 05/31/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON 37718875 38518919 39058874 39548602 38928544 37938635
37538780 37718875



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